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Maduro’s Demise Imminent? The Same Was Said Of Syria’s Assad

 

A new Bloomberg report begins by noting, “As with Assad eight years ago, it’s hard to find an analyst or Western official predicting Maduro’s long-term survival.” Given that the professional class of “analysts” tends to get just about everything wrong, it seems safe to bet on Maduro lasting much longer than anyone is currently predicting. Pundits and politicians seeking regime change also have a penchant for wishfully exaggerating the degree to which popular unrest and external pressures actually erode and crack the regime, and still very loyal military.

Like with Syria before, the headlines on Venezuela are moving much faster that the reality inside Caracas. Also like with Syria, pundits who have little to no awareness of what the Latin American country looks like on the ground will still arrogantly make their inflated prognostications from thousands of miles away from the Venezuelan streets. For this reason if some lone military attaché at the Venezuelan embassy in D.C. defects, it generates breathless headlines foretelling a supposedly imminent snowball effect of mass army defections: Losing Grip on Power… one ABC headline excitedly stated after the officer’s declaration of support for Juan Guaido.

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A new Bloomberg report begins by noting, “As with Assad eight years ago, it’s hard to find an analyst or Western official predicting Maduro’s long-term survival.” Given that the professional class of “analysts” tends to get just about everything wrong, it seems safe to bet on Maduro lasting much longer than anyone is currently predicting. Pundits and politicians seeking regime change also have a penchant for wishfully exaggerating the degree to which popular unrest and external pressures actually erode and crack the regime, and still very loyal military.

Like with Syria before, the headlines on Venezuela are moving much faster that the reality inside Caracas. Also like with Syria, pundits who have little to no awareness of what the Latin American country looks like on the ground will still arrogantly make their inflated prognostications from thousands of miles away from the Venezuelan streets. For this reason if some lone military attaché at the Venezuelan embassy in D.C. defects, it generates breathless headlines foretelling a supposedly imminent snowball effect of mass army defections: Losing Grip on Power… one ABC headline excitedly stated after the officer’s declaration of support for Juan Guaido.

This article first appeared at Zero Hedge.